June 11th, 2010 - BP shares plummeted again today, down 11% in early trading, prompting fears that the company may fall prey to a takeover. The political firestorm surrounding BP led to a rollercoaster ride for the company's shares on stock exchanges yesterday.
Rumours the firm could consider bankruptcy protection vied with speculation it had become a bid target.
Rumours the firm could consider bankruptcy protection vied with speculation it had become a bid target.
On Wall Street last night BP's New York-listed shares staged a 9.5% rebound on talk a rival could pounce. That followed a 16% rout the evening before.
Some investors now see the firm as a tempting target after it lost £55bn of value since the April 20 explosion on the Deepwater Horizon rig in the Gulf of Mexico, which killed 11 workers.
Shares have now shed 44% of their value since the disaster triggered the worst oil spill in American history. Yesterday the London-listed stock lost another 6.7% to trade at 365.5p a share, wiping another £5bn off the value of the group.
BP is determined to resist any overtures from opportunistic bidders and many Londonbased shareholders argue it would be madness to sell out when the stock is at such depressed levels. They insist they are optimistic about BP's capacity to rebound from the current crisis, arguing that its shares are now wildly undervalued.
One industry source said: 'BP will defend its independence. Any attempt to take it out at these (share price) levels or anything resembling them would be the height of opportunism.' However, some industry players believe Washington's political assault could ultimately destroy the firm.
As a result, there is talk the company could seek Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection in the US, offering BP some breathing space to sort out its affairs. A far more likely outcome is the suspension of the dividend, allowing the firm to conserve more cash to pay out spill-related claims.
US Department of Justice officials have said they are planning 'to take action' to make sure BP has enough cash to cover any compensation claims arising from the spill. This is also seen as a threat to the dividend, which has not been cut since 1992 and provides around £1 in every £6 of share payouts from UK blue-chip firms.
The company has so far refused to comment on the future of dividends, with the board due to make the decision at the end of July. One suggestion last night was that BP could impose a voluntary moritorium on payments as a way of holding out an olive branch to its US critics.
BP has said the cost of the clean-up and containment efforts had now hit £979m. Alternatively, BP could end up falling prey to a bid from deep-pocketed rivals. The firm's shares are now worth £68bn, compared with £123bn before the leak. This makes it far more digestible than it used to be.
Only a few global companies are seen as packing the firepower needed to digest a company of BP's size and complexity, however. Three more likely candidates are seen as ExxonMobil of the US, Anglo-Dutch giant Royal Dutch Shell, and Beijing-controlled PetroChina.
Yet none of these bids would be easy to pull off. Exxon has vast financial muscle and its American provenance will appeal to politicians who have been banging the anti-British drum. But Exxon's overlaps with BP's US business could trigger competition concerns.
Royal Dutch Shell is BP's closest European rival, and the two firms contemplated a tie-up under former BP boss Lord Browne. But Shell may decide it has enough on its plate without assuming vast Gulf liabilities.
This could leave outsiders such as state-owned PetroChina of China as potential bidders. PetroChina recently overtook Exxon as the world's most valuable company and it enjoys the backing of the Beijing state.
But the prospect of a British-owned firm with a huge American workforce being swallowed up by a Chinese-controlled one would be difficult to accept for jingoistic Washington politicians. - Extracted from Thisismoney.co.uk